Mini.Punt.com - A Professional Gambler's Notepad

The market depth following Betfair’s slow suspension of...

Sat, 30 Aug 2008 22:03:18 -0400

The market depth following Betfair’s slow suspension of the Nishikori - Ferrer match.

Another failed suspension on a big match by Betfair. ...

Sat, 30 Aug 2008 22:01:44 -0400

Another failed suspension on a big match by Betfair. Tonight’s match was 1.33 on match point for Nishikori.. as Betfair suspend, there is over £100k asking for 1.01.

Tiger Walks on Water..

Fri, 29 Aug 2008 05:32:16 -0400

The people laying 1.09 and below were all definitely matched...

Thu, 28 Aug 2008 18:56:15 -0400

The people laying 1.09 and below were all definitely matched before Betfair were able to suspend on time (the price had hit 1.1 earlier in the match, leaving it impossible to know how much people were able to match between 1.1 and 1.21). The people laying these bets all lost money without a chance of ever winning - unless the people betting were guessing, but how often do you see them get it wrong? Risk free profit is being extracted from the Betfair userbase.

Betfair fail to suspend the Ivanovic v Coin match as Coin wins...

Thu, 28 Aug 2008 18:50:49 -0400

Betfair fail to suspend the Ivanovic v Coin match as Coin wins the match. Some people are able to match money without due risk down to 1.01 (Coin was 1.22 prior to them playing the match point).

When traders don't track their results, it's because they don't want to know them.

Wed, 13 Aug 2008 05:10:31 -0400

When traders don't track their results, it's because they don't want to know them.:

…says Brett Steenbarger. On various levels for different people, he’s right.

Read "Reminiscences of a Stock Operator" here!

Tue, 12 Aug 2008 16:34:00 -0400

Read "Reminiscences of a Stock Operator" here!:

…a great link I found which has the entire book on the web. Anyone looking to trade would do well to read this book first, sure it’s many decades old and it’s about stock market trading, but everything written here applies just as well to betting exchange markets in the 21st century. Human nature never changes.. enjoy!

Betfair fail to suspend the Safin v Starace match on time.

Wed, 09 Jul 2008 10:57:00 -0400

Betfair fail to suspend the Safin v Starace match on time.

Ryderstedt v Rehnquist

Wed, 09 Jul 2008 07:51:00 -0400

…not exactly a match to write home about. Fairly typical of the sort of dross I get to watch in the 35 weeks a year that there isn’t anything good on. I might be able to win a few points off these chaps, and that’s saying something.

Perhaps slightly more amusing is the location for this tour event.. ‘Bastad’, Sweden.

*update: Rehnquist just double faulted to be broken whilst serving for the match, thus prolonging the anguish of all viewers.

"Ana Ivanovic Double Chin"

Wed, 09 Jul 2008 07:39:41 -0400

..someone just searched for this on google and remarkably, arrived at Punt.com. Not sure how exactly, and not sure why someone would search for such a thing.. does it exist? Either way, welcome visitor!

My Betfair forum woes. Even they don’t know why I’m...

Mon, 07 Jul 2008 11:03:00 -0400

My Betfair forum woes. Even they don’t know why I’m getting this message.

Roger V Rafa, their rivalry over 18 matches.

Mon, 07 Jul 2008 07:24:00 -0400

Roger V Rafa, their rivalry over 18 matches.:

…a great article from the ATP website, every match they’ve played so far. It currently stands at 12-6 to Rafa. Let’s hope there’s many more to come.

The "Lay Yourself" blog is next to do some analysis.

Mon, 07 Jul 2008 05:15:55 -0400

The "Lay Yourself" blog is next to do some analysis.:

…A great blog entry showing analysis of their results over the past month or two, complete with charts. More importantly, they reach the conclusion that it’s better to monitor the big picture in order to maintain discipline on a trade by trade level. Check it.

"I made my money by selling too soon. I never lost money by turning a profit."

Thu, 03 Jul 2008 04:55:12 -0400

“I made my money by selling too soon.
I never lost money by turning a profit.”

- Bernard M. Baruch - we all know it’s not quite so simple, but there are times when this quote should ring in my ears louder than some of the other ideas I have, most of the time in fact..

"The Experiment" blog is next to do some gambling profit analysis.

Tue, 01 Jul 2008 05:20:00 -0400

"The Experiment" blog is next to do some gambling profit analysis.:

…Graeme follows punt.com and delves into the statistics of his trading, it’s an enlightening article, especially for those of you just starting out in sports trading. Points worthy of note, he’s loses in only 1 of 6 markets, averages £30 an hour and has a very smooth chart - of which I’m quite envious :) Make sure you check out the rest of his blog too.

Nadal @ Wimbledon, some concerns..

Sun, 29 Jun 2008 17:48:00 -0400

I’ve been championing Nadal’s chances at this years Wimbledon, even before he won the French and trounced Roger. Things looked brilliant for him when he took the Queens title too, on courts that are acknowledged as faster than Wimbledon’s. I think was was most impressive was his fast change of tactics from clay to grass, standing on the baseline to return serve, where 3 days previously he had taken position in the locker room to return Fed’s serves.

We’re halfway through the tournament now, Rog and Rafa are still there and we are looking good-ish for another repeat finale, but where I was confident in my Nadal bet (since traded out and reduced vastly) I’m now not so sure he has what it takes. Against Gulbis he was pressured, even against Kiefer he looked rather impotent in the first set. Take a look where he’s returning serve now, he’s resorted to standing in the locker room again, if not outside the stadium to return serves, this gives a decent server time to get into net on this surface. Worryingly too there were signs of his shots dropping shorter v Kiefer, something he has suffered with on the faster surfaces.

I’m still confident he can sort this out, and perhaps he is making some attempt to not peak too early, to come out in the final with a new set of tactics to what he has used the rest of the tournament. The surface dfinitely suits him, it’s still slow, it’s bouncing ever higher the longer the tournament goes on and his game has improved massively in the last 3 years… he can attack with the best of them now. Step up Rafa, lets see some of that Queens form.

Wimbledon Day 5 Matches

Fri, 27 Jun 2008 04:00:20 -0400

TickSize - A New Blog

Thu, 26 Jun 2008 04:25:51 -0400

TickSize - A New Blog:

…hoping this one’s gonna be a good read.

25th June Wimbledon Day 3 Matches

Wed, 25 Jun 2008 04:29:43 -0400

24th June Wimbledon Day 2 Matches

Tue, 24 Jun 2008 04:48:57 -0400